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MANUEL CEREIJO
 
 
NUCLEAR POWER: A SECOND LOOK


The last nuclear power plant built in the United States was ordered in 1978, the year before the Three Mile Island accident stopped the growth of the U.S. industry in its tracks.

However, the Bush administration’s energy plan, released in May 2003, stated that nuclear energy is an essential part of the national energy mix, and directed the Department of Energy to support the expansion of nuclear power generation in the United States, as “a major component of national energy policy”.

Also, the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission extended for 20 more years six U.S. power plants’ operating licenses this year. Nuclear engineering enrollments at Universities, long in decline, started to climb.

It is time, clearly, to take a new look at nuclear power. The technology itself is also changing. The next reactor built in the States may be a pebble-bed reactor. Of course, economic analysis will be critical in determining whether new nuclear plants are built.

Waste disposal continues to be the major obstacle to the growth of nuclear power. However, utilities finally have found a technique that will let them seal the waste safely for decades. It takes years to get a new reactor from the drawing board into operation. But, it turns out, reactors appear to be more durable than originally expected. So, instead of building new ones, nuclear plant operators are applying for extensions in the licensed lifetime of old ones.

New and planned Nuclear Reactors in the World*

 
 

2002

2003

2004

2005

2016

total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

China

2

3

1

2

12

20

North Korea

 

1

1

 

5

7

Iran

 

 

1

1

4

6

Russia

2

1

1

7

1

12

 
*We showed a break between 2005 and 2016 to simplify the data.
Nuclear energy is the world’s largest source of emission free energy. The use of nuclear energy in place of other energy sources helps to keep the air clean, preserve the earth’s climate, avoid ground-level ozone formation, and prevent acid rain.


The “new” pebble-bed concept builds on the high temperature gas cooled reactor technology developed in the 1960s. Typical of this technology is the use of a helium coolant and a graphite moderator. The pebble bed’s fuel takes very high temperatures and won’t break down.

The power industry will be looking at two approaches: extension time for present operating nuclear power plants; building new, more high technology power plants.

Cuba

The analysis takes us to Cuba’s nuclear activities.

Cuba: Electrical Energy

Up to 1959, Cuba was supplied of electrical energy by the following major utilities:

(1) Compañia Cubana de Electricidad (CCE). CCE was a subsidiary of the American and Foreign Power Company, previously part of the Electric Bond and Share Co.-EBASCO. CCE’s service territory included the Eastern part of Pinar del Rio province, La Habana, Matanzas, Las Villas, Camaguey, and the Southern part of the Oriente province.

(2) Hernandez y Hermanos. Its service territory included the western part of Pinar del Rio province and the cities of Trinidad, Casilda and several towns in Las
Villas province.

(3) Tabares. Its service territory included the northern and central part of the Pinar del Rio province

(4) Islas de Pinos utility. Covering Isla de Pinos

(5) Many other spotted areas were served by the large sugar mill industry or the
larger industrial complexes in the Island.

All these utilities were franchised and regulated by the Public Service Commission, under the Ministry of Communications. Presently, all electric generation, transmission, and distribution of electric energy in Cuba is controlled by the government through the entity Empresa Electrica Cubana, under the Ministry of Basic Industries. There are no private electric utility companies in Cuba.

Cuba has an installed generating capacity of 3,500 megawatts. However, the net generating capacity is only 1,200 megawatts. The industry employs some 29,000 workers, of which, 4000 are technicians, and 850 are engineers. The electrical energy demand was in 1996 of 2,500 megawatts, distributed as follows:

*50% industrial
*4% agricultural
*12% commercial
*34% residential

The rest is for miscellaneous loads. However, in 2002 the demand diminished to 950 megawatts, mainly due to the large decrease in the industrial and residential loads.

The composition of the main units, equipment, instruments, and components is very diverse. The main suppliers are: United States (pre Castro), former Soviet Union, Japan, Italy, France, Czech Republic, Germany. The main generating plants are:

(1) Mariel, capacity 600 megawatts

(2) Tallapiedra, capacity 200 megawatts

(3) Regla, capacity 200 megawatts

(4) Santa Cruz del Norte, capacity 300 megawatts

(5) Antonio Guiteras, capacity 350 megawatts

(6) Cienfuegos, capacity 400 megawatts

(7) Felton, capacity 250 megawatts

(8) Nuevitas, capacity 200 megawatts

(9) Rente, capacity 300 megawatts

(10) Hanabanilla, ( Hydroelectric), capacity 45 megawatts.

There are a total of 46 operating units located in 20 different sites. The transmission voltage is 110 kV and 220 kV. The country is mainly interconnected with a 220kV grid. Transmission conductors are ACSR 150mm. Transmission structures are concrete, metal, and H frame made of wood. Distribution voltages are 4.16 kV and 13.8 kV, and the system operates at 60 Hz. Distribution conductors are 150 mm, 70 mm, and 35 mm ACSR. Almost all distribution is overhead, except some underground in La Habana.

Approximately 95% of the generating units in Cuba use No. 6 fuel oil. A 4% use No. 2 fuel oil. Due to the wide range of unit ages and country of origin present in the system, the sizes and operating parameters are very diverse. The age range of the units vary from 10 years, the newest one installed in Felton, to over 45 years for the ones present in Cuba before 1959. Usually accepted economical and technical life for steam generating units is 30 t0 35 years. An estimated 45% of the units installed in Cuba are small, inefficient, and over the accepted range of operating life.

Cuba consumed 13 million tons of oil in 1989, of which, 7 million tons, or 40 million barrels were for the generation of electricity. In 2002, Cuba consumed, for all needs, 6.3 million tons of oil. Of these, approximately 1.2 millions were domestic oil . Domestic oil is not suitable as a fuel for the generating units because of the high content of sulphur, 9%, which if used in the boilers, creates sulphuric acid, which corrodes the boilers.

The percentage of Cuba’s oil consumption is as follows:

· 50% imported crude oil
· 35% imported, refined
· 15% domestic production crude oil.

Cuba’s domestic oil reserves are scant, so increasing domestic production is not feasible.

Cuba has presently an installed capacity of 290 watts per person. However, it has a net generating capacity of 100 watts per person. It is estimated that a country, in order to sustain a stable economic and industrial growth should have available at least 600 watts per person of net generating capacity.

The most prevalent problems with the electrical energy system in Cuba are:

(1) insufficient net generating capacity

(2) dependence on imported oil as fuel

(3) lack of reliability

(4) inefficiency of the system

(5) poor condition of the transmission and distribution system.

JURAGUA

As seen above, over the past 20 years Cuba has been faced with an ongoing energy crisis. Depending heavily upon imported oil, the Cuban government has attempted to seek an alternative to oil through nuclear energy. In cooperation with the former Soviet Union, Cuba embarked on a project to construct and operate a nuclear power plant in Cienfuegos, known as Juragua. However, the collapse of the Soviet Union halted construction at Juragua. Recent bilateral cooperation between Cuba and Russia has re-ignited the possibility of Juragua’s completion in the near future. The United States views a nuclear reactor in Cuba as a threat to its national security. The U.S. has cited numerous safety concerns associated with Juragua, believing in the event of an accident it would be exposed to radioactive fallout.

Description

In 1976 Cuba and the Soviet Union signed an agreement to construct two 440-megawatt nuclear power reactors in the south central province of Cienfuegos, near Juragua, about 180 south of Key West, Florida. Juragua’s nuclear reactors are of the model VVER-440, of Soviet design and are the first Soviet-designed reactors to be built in the Western Hemisphere in a tropical environment.

The arrangement was aimed at alleviating Cuba’s dependency upon foreign oil while bolstering its electricity capacity. The importation of oil has drained Cuba of its sparse hard currency. At the same time the country’s production of electricity has been fraught with difficulties. As of 1992 Cuban power plants have been working at only 47% of their capacity, leading to frequent blackouts. This figure has fallen further due to the relative decline in the Cuban economy since 1998. Upon completion, the first reactor, Juragua #1, would generate approximately 15% of Cuba’s energy demands. Figure #s 4 and 5 show construction site of Juragua at two different years.

Actual construction of the reactors began in 1983. The Soviet Union supplied a majority of the reactor parts, dispatched technicians to supervise construction, and trained Cuban engineers to operate the reactors. According to 1992 GAO report, Russia tentatively scheduled the first reactor to be operational in late 1995. This was due in part to the Cubans constructing the reactor lacking experience and with all critical work being performed by Russians or under their supervision.

However, the breakup of the Soviet Union disrupted construction at Juragua. The newly formed Russian Federation in conjunction with its transitioning into a market economy established new economic ties with Cuba. Current bilateral ties between Russia and Cuba, now, involve providing technical assistance to Cuba on a commercial basis.

At the same time the loss of Soviet subsidies to Cuba after 1990 has sent the Cuban economy into decline. As a result, on September 5, 1992, Cuba announced a suspension of construction at Juragua due to Cuba’s inability to meet the financial terms set by Russia to complete the reactors.

A September 1992 GAO report estimated that civil construction on the first reactor ranged from 90% to 97% complete with only 37% of the reactor equipment installed. About 25% of the civil construction on the second reactor was completed with the status of the equipment unknown.

Cuban-Russian attempts to resume construction at Juragua took place in October 1995. A high-level Russian delegation with full backing of the government arrived in La Habana to conclude an agreement to complete construction. To raise the $ 800 million dollars necessary to complete the reactors, Russia and Cuba decided to form a syndicate with potential third parties. Companies in Britain, Brazil, Italy, Germany, Spain, and Russia expressed interest in an economic association.

However, nothing concrete came out at that time. Cuba was rewarded with a $50 million dollar grant loan from Russia for support work at Juragua. Cuba now receives financial support for the Juragua plant from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). The AIEA has provided nuclear technical assistance in atomic energy development and in the application of isotopes and radiation.

The AIEA has provided from 1991 to 1996 about $1 million to Cuba to develop the ability to conduct a safety assessment of Juragua reactors, and in preserving or “mothballing”the reactors while construction is suspended. This assistance increased during 1997 to 1999. It is estimated that through the last 20 years the IAEA has provided Cuba with some $14 million dollars.

Recent events have lead to the speculation of resumption of construction in the near future. Recently, July 2000, an official from the Russian Federation announced the intention to resume construction of Juragua. This will be accomplished through an international consortium of countries, including Russia. Upon resumption of construction, the Juragua first reactor is expected to be operational within a 14 month time-span.

The terrorist attack of 9/11 brought to a halt all activities related to resume construction of Juragua. Hovever, since mid 2002, Cuba has been strongly looking for starting the reconstruction of Juragua, having conversations with private firms from Spain, Russia, and with countries like China, Brazil, and Iran.

The main problem is the Cuban economy. That is, the customers of the Juragua power plant will be the Cuban people, paying in pesos. The peso has no value at all in the international market. Therefore, there is a degree of difficulty in finding the appropriate investors willing to risk their money in such a risk. Therefore, if Cuba finds finally a group of investors, they will be more politically motivated than financially motivated. However, in today’s world, after 9/11, the possibilities of finding a terrorist country, directly or indirectly-through a third group-willing to invest in Juragua, have increased compared to pre 9/11.

VVER-440 reactors

A VVER-440 reactor is a pressurized water reactor developed from a reactor design based on the first nuclear submarine reactors in the Soviet Union, where de-mineralized light water is applied as both cooling agent and for moderating the neutrons. The first version, VVER-440/230, was developed in the 60’s, while the VVER-440/213 was introduced in the 80’s. It is a Russian version of the Pressurized Water reactor (PWR). There are three standard designs-two 6 loop-440 megawatt(the 230 and 213 models), and 4 loop-1000megawatt output designs. Re-fuelings are conducted with the plant shutdown.

The reactor core in a VVER-440 reactor is 3 meters in diameter, has a height of 2.5 meters, and is enclosed by a cylindrical pressure receptacle of steel, of a diameter of 4.3 meters and a height of 11.8 meters. The total weight is 200 tons. The reactor core contains 312 fuel assemblies and 37 control assemblies. Each fuel assembly consists of 126 fuel pins, which in turn consists of uranium-dioxide pellets. The content of 235U in the fuel is replaced by new, non-irradiated fuel assemblies. The temperature of the cooling water as it leaves the reactor is between 295 and 300 degrees Celsius.

Each reactor coolant loop includes a steam generator and a reactor coolant pump. The water passes through the inside of the tubes in the steam generator. The reactor coolant pump circulates the water for cooling the reactor core. The system is pressurized to 2200+ pounds per square inch by a pressurizer, which is connected to one of the reactor coolant loops.

A major difference between western designed PWRs and the VVERs is that the latter have horizontal steam generators. The older VVERs have isolation valves in the reactor coolant loops and accident localization compartments. Water passing on the outside of the steam generator tubes is heated and converted to steam. Steam in the VVER design is not expected to be radioactive. The VVER 440 design includes accident localization zones and a confinement rather than a true containment.

The VVER-440 in Juragua belong to the “second generation” of the VVER family. However, they do not meet western standards. They also have an inadequacy of the upper portion of the reactor’s dome retention capability to withstand only 7 pounds of pressure per square inch, given that normal atmospheric pressure is 32 pounds per square inch and United States reactors are designed to accommodate pressures of 50 pounds per square inch. Normal air pressure at sea level, the level at which the plant is being constructed, is 14.7 pounds per square inch. Therefore, the dome cannot survive when exposed to the atmosphere.

The design of the Cuban reactor has many features in common with those of the U.S., but there are several differences that could lead to significantly different reactions in the event of a serious accident. For example, while the Cuban reactor, like the U.S. PWRs, use water to cool the reactor core, the Cuban reactor uses a different system for handling the steam pressure that would be generated by a severe accident.

In the Cuban reactor, the steam is condensed so that pressure is reduced in the containment structure. If, in the case of a severe accident, the system for condensing the steam is bypassed and the steam reaches the upper portion of the containment in pressures greater than the upper portion’s designed pressure retention capability of 7 pounds per square inch. The containment could be breached and a radioactive release could occur. In contrast, U.S. PWRs are designed to accommodate pressures of about 50 pounds per square inch throughout the containment structure.

Another main difference between the VVER-440 reactors and reactors of Western type is the degree of safety containment surrounding the reactor tank of the VVER-440.The airtight safety containment of Western power plant encloses the reactor tank, the primary-and secondary circuits, as well as the steam generators. At a possible leakage, the safety containments will see that the radioactive steam does not escape to the surroundings. At Western reactors, this safety containment is made of pre-stressed concrete.

Also, there are devices for cooling the steam to decrease the pressure. The construction surrounding the reactor systems of the VVER-440 has a volume too small to relieve the pressure arising should a breach occur in pipes of more than 32 mm in diameter. The construction is fitted with valves, which are released if the pressure gets too high.

Integral reactor systems, including the reactor vessel itself, six steam generators, five primary coolant pumps, twelve isolation valves and more, were stored outside for months, exposed to the highly corrosive tropical sea air and weather. No nuclear reactor of Soviet design has ever been constructed in a tropical climate.

The group of the world’s seven richest countries (G7) has concluded that all reactors of the VVER-440 type must be shut down as soon possible, as the reactors are upgraded to Western safety standards. Even the World Bank emphasizes the serious defects of reactors of this type, rendering any reconstruction unprofitable. From an economical point of view, the World Bank claims nuclear power plant with reactors of the VVER-440 type to be the most expensive energy alternative for the years to come.

There are eight VVER-440 reactors in operation in former Eastern Europe and Russia. Six additional reactors of this type have formerly been in operation, but are now shut down. Four reactors were in operation at the nuclear power plant of Greifswald in former DDR. The reactors were dismantled by the German authorities after the reunion due to the lack of security at this type of reactor. There are two reactors in Armenia, but they are temporarily shut down due to their poor state.

On the construction side, the VVER-440 reactors deviate from safety standards of Western reactors. IEAA performed in 1991 a safety analysis of the 10 reactors in operation, and found 100 safety aspects connected to the design and the operation of the plants. More than 60% of these aspects are of great importance when safety is concerned.

The main problems concerning the design of the reactor type is as following:

· Deficiencies in the construction concerning the limitation of discharges to the surroundings in case of breaches in pipes of more than 32 mm in the primary circuit
· Lack of safety containment surrounding the core
· Limited capacity of the cooling system
· Insufficient “backup” of the cooling system and safety system
· Lack of distinction between control systems and safety precautions concerning fire
· Obsolete control room technology

Neutron irradiation of the reactor tank, causing the steel to become brittle, is a vital safety issue of the VVER-440 reactors. The proximity of the fuel assemblies to the steel walls in the VVER-440 reactor tank, causes higher neutron irradiation than in other types of reactors, and the walls to become brittle at a higher pace than normal. The VVER-440 reactor tank is made up of welded rings. The welded seams are particularly exposed to neutron irradiation. As a remedy, in some designs during the late 80’s, the outermost assemblies were replaced with steel rods.

Light-water reactors are considered safer than the graphite-cooled model that was in use in Chernobyl, Ukraine, site of the world’s worst nuclear accident. But the Russian-designed VVER-440 light water reactors do not meet the safety standards of Western nations. The design is considered unsafe and should not be in operation.

Conclusions

1. Three of the VVER projects started by the former Soviet Union during the late 70’s and early 80’s encountered serious problems that led to their suspension. Of these three, two found solutions to their problems through the technical and financial help of other countries. Only Juragua remains uncompleted

2. The Cuban government is again, since 2002, actively seeking financial and technical assistance to finish Juragua. Feasibility studies indicate that $400 million dollars are needed to finish the first reactor. Once construction is resumed, a 14 month time span will be needed to make operational the reactor.

3. The civil construction of the first reactor is 97% complete. Approximately 40% of the reactor equipment is installed.

4. In the event of an accident during Juragua’s operation, radioactivity could leak from the plant with an adverse effect upon Cuba, United States, Mexico, Central America, and the Caribbean.

5. The release of radioactive to the air from a nuclear plant is more effective than the one produced from nuclear tests. Meteorological data conducted by the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration, NOAA, and the Air Resources Laboratory, ARL, show an early arrival of radioactivity to Florida of less than 24 hours. The average time of arrival would be 48 hours. In 72 hours, areas affected will be Central America, Mexico, the Caribbean, and most of the U.S. Eastern Seaboard.

6. The cities with a major impact in the U.S. will be Miami, Florida; Houston, Texas, and Tallahassee, Florida.

7. The main problems concerning safety related to the Juragua’s reactor are:

· Deficiencies in the construction concerning the limitation of discharges to the surroundings in case of breaches in pipes of more than 32 mm in the primary circuit.
· Lack of safety containment surrounding the core
· Limited capacity of the cooling system
· Insufficient backup of the cooling system and safety system
· Lack of distinction between control systems and safety precautions concerning fire
· Obsolete control room technology
· Neutron irradiation of the reactor tank could cause the steel to brittle
· Reactor dome has a retention capability to withstand only 7 pounds of pressure per square inch. Standard in the U.S. is 50 pounds per square inch
· Unknown quality of plant equipment and construction
· Lack of documentation on design, manufacturing and construction
· Reported instances of poor quality materials being re-worked at plant site.
· Reactor protection systems and diagnostic behind Western standards
· Separation of the plant safety systems, and protection for control room operators are below Western standards

8. The possibility of an accident occurring at Juragua, upon its operation, is estimated to be 15 times greater than the probabilities in a United States plant.

9. Cuba lacks a comprehensive system to perform systematic readings that monitor radioactivity to prevent potential accidents.

10. Six similar reactors of the Juragua type operating in Eastern Europe were shut down due to the lack of security of the reactors.

11. The IEAA performed in 1991 a safety analysis of the 10 reactors similar to the Juragua’s, remaining in operation, and found 100 safety aspects connected to the design and the operation of the plants. More than 60% of these aspects are of great importance, and are not acceptable by Western standards.

12. The group of the world’s seven richest countries (G7) has concluded that all
reactors of the VVER-440 type must be shut down as soon as possible, and the reactors should be upgraded to Western safety standards. The World Bank emphasizes the serious defects of the reactors of this type, rendering any
reconstruction unprofitable.

13. Integral reactor systems-including the reactor vessel itself, six steam generators, five primary coolant pumps, twelve isolation valves and more-were stored outside for months, exposed to the highly corrosive tropical sea air and weather. Also, no nuclear reactor of Soviet design has ever been constructed in a tropical climate.

14. Cuba has not serious plans at this point for the proper disposal of the nuclear waste generated in Juragua, once in operation. Cuba is not technically or economically prepared to dispose safely of the nuclear waste

The Juragua nuclear plant should not be permitted to start operation under the responsibility of the actual Cuban government, neither under the present design and construction deficiencies. Radiological dispersion devices –dirty bombs- among other dangerous activities related to the plant, would be then of rather easy development by the Cuban government using the nuclear waste disposal from the plant.
 
JURAGUA NUCLEAR PLANT - CIENFUEGOS, CUBA
 
 
JURAGUA NUCLEAR PLANT - CIENFUEGOS, CUBA
 
AVERAGE TIME IN DAYS FOR RADIOACTIVE FALL OUT TO REACH NEARBY REGIONS
 
 
BIBLIOGRAPHY


1. Publications of the Center for Security Policy, No. 92-D-41

2. Report by U.S. Council of Energy Awareness: “The VVER design is very
different from Western counterparts, and does not meet Western safety
standards”, April, 1992

3. Nuclear Energy Information Center, “Source Book on Soviet Designed
Nuclear power Plants”, 1996

4. The Natural Resources Defense Council, “Backgrounders: The Juragua
Nuclear Plant”, 1997

5. Fisher-Thompson, Jim, “Recent Film Reveals Flaws of Cuban Nuclear Plant”
U.S. Information Agency, August, 1995

6. “Nuclear Safety: Concerns with the Nuclear Power Reactors in Cuba”,
Statement of Keith O. Fultz, Assistant Comptroller General , Resources
Community, and Economic Development Division, United States General Accounting Office, to the House of Representatives, Committee on International Relations, Subcommittee on the Western Hemisphere, August, 1995

7. International Atomic Energy Agency Information Circular, INFCIRC/537,
July 1997

8. International Atomic Energy Agency, “International Conference on
Strengthening Nuclear Safety in Eastern Europe”

9. Berger, Mikhail, “Cuba Hopes for Return of Absurd Economics”, 1996

10. Cereijo, Manuel, “Facing the Threat of Juragua”, June 1995

11. Dillion, Paul, “Nuclear Threat Looms Nearby”, November, 1997

12. Robinson, Roger. Cuba and the Juragua Nuclear Power Complex. Testimony
From a Hearing of the house International Relations Committee. Subcommittee on the Western Hemisphere, August, 1995

13. U.S. Congress. General Accounting Office. Nuclear Safety: Concerns about
the Nuclear Power Reactors in Cuba. 101th Cong. 2nd. Session RECD-92-262,
1992

14. Rohter, Larry. “ Cuban A-Plant worries U.S. over safety”, February, 1995

15. Fonticiella, Herminia; Arrondo, Raul; Fonticiella, L. “The Inherent Danger of
The Juragua Nuclear Power Plant”, May 1996

16. Thomas Nielsen; Nils Boehmer; “Kola Nuclear Power Plant”, July 2000

17. Russian Ministry of Security, Report No. 1344-G, July 1992

18. Murray, R. “Understanding Radioactive Wasre”, 4th Edition, Battelle Memorial Institute, Ohio 1994

19. BEIR V., Committee on the Biological Effects of Ionization Radiations, National Research Council, 1990

20. “Nuclear Energy’s Dilemma: Disposing of Radioactive Waste safely”, Comptroller General of the United States, 1977

21. “Nuclear Safety”, GAO/RCED-97-72

22. Report DOE/EIA-0219, April 1999

23. CREWS Proposal, June 1999

24. Nuclear Waste Briefs, Winter 1996

25. Report # DOE/EIA-0383, December 1999

26. Inventory of Electric Utility Power Plants in the United States 1999
Executive Summary, EIA/DOE, 1999

27. TED Case Studies #469, August 1999

28. Nucleus, X aniversario SEAN, Comision de Energia Atomica de Cuba, No.7 1989

29. Boletin Tecnico, Central Atomica de Juragua, Centro de Informacion Cientifico Tecnica de la UPI, No.7, 1988


30. Boletin Tecnico, Vol. III, No. 1-2, Centro de Informacion Cientifico Tecnica,
Cuba, 1990

31. Personal conversations of the author with numerous Cuban engineers,
scientists, technicians, workers, and government officials, 1988-2000.
 
 


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